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Swati Dhingra, of the LSE, said: “There is near consensus among economists that the hard – or chaotic – form of Brexit…would hurt the UK economy. Although there was little immediate economic fallout from the Brexit vote, in the first quarter of this year UK economic growth was the slowest of any EU economy. … Mrs May insists “no deal is better than a bad deal” — but no deal could spell “chaos”, economists said. Thomas Sampson, of the London School of Economics (LSE), said: “Progress will require the UK to make concessions. Possible concessions include making payments to the EU budget, agreeing EU regulations will continue to apply in some industries, and guaranteeing immigration rights for EU citizens offered a job in the UK. “The UK has a weaker negotiating position than the EU, so even with these concessions it is unlikely to achieve all its objectives. “But refusing to compromise will guarantee failure. “Research estimates that leaving the EU without a deal could reduce UK income per capita by up to 10 per cent in the worst-case scenario.”
‘Life after Brexit : What are the UK’s options outside the European Union?’, Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson, CEP Brexit Analysis Paper No.1, February 2016
Four principles for the UK's Brexit trade negotiations Thomas Sampson, CEP Brexit Analysis Paper No.9, October 2016
But the greatest potential trouble is on Brexit, with the constitutional uncertainty growing and economists laying out this week just what a hard or chaotic Brexit could mean for the economy: the pound dropping even further, falling wages and more businesses leaving the UK. And yet the Government still appears to believe that no deal is an option even though the London School of Economics suggests that leaving the EU without one could reduce UK income per capita by up to 10 per cent.
‘BREXIT 2016: Policy Analysis from the Centre for Economic Performance’, Holger Breinlich, Swati Dhingra, Saul Estrin, Hanwei Huang, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson, John Van Reenen and Jonathan Wadsworth, Centre for Economic Performance Brexit Analysis Paper No.8, June 2016
High-speed rail has triggered a wave of innovation , according to a London School of Economics and Political Science discussion paper by Lin Yatang, Qin Yu and Xie Zhuan, which describes a 20 per cent increase in patent applications after 2004, when high-speed technology from Europe began.
'High-speed rail in China', Lin Yatang, Qin Yu and Xie Zhuan. Article in CentrePiece Volume 21, Issue 2, Autumn 2016
Deadline - Monday 12 June 2017
Robin Burgess (LSE and CEPR)
Fadi Hassan (Trinity College Dublin)
Carol Newman (Trinity College Dublin)
Keynote speakers: David McKenzie (World Bank and CEPR) and Imran Rasul (UCL and CEPR)
We invite submissions for this workshop from interested researchers on any topic in the area of Development Economics. The deadline for submission is 12 June 2017. We accept both full-length papers and extended abstracts for projects at an advanced stage.
The workshop is organised by TIME (Trinity College Dublin), STICERD (London School of Economics) and CEPR and is funded by Irish Aid. The aim of the workshop is to bring together researchers in different fields of development economics to discuss current issues in development. Topics include, but are not limited to: agriculture, climate change, conflict, education, firms’ organization, finance, gender, health, migration, networks, productivity, public finance, and trade. The workshop will take place at Trinity College Dublin on 18-19 September 2017.
The sponsoring institutions can cover accommodation and travel according to the CEPR guidelines for presenters and discussants. However, there is limited travel and accommodation funding available, and we encourage more senior participants to use their own grants to cover costs. Please indicate in your reply whether you will be able to cover your own costs, or whether you will require funding to attend.
How to apply
If you would like to submit a paper, or attend without submitting a paper, please email your submission to Chloe Smith (email@example.com) with the following subject "Paper Submission: 1st TCD/LSE/CEPR Workshop in Development Economics".
Please include the paper you wish to submit in the email, or indicate if you would like to participate as a general participant. Also state if travel/ accommodation funding is required and if you are willing to act as a discussant.
If you wish to attend please do ensure that your application and paper reach CEPR by Monday 12 June 2017. We aim to notify successful applicants by the end of June/early July 2017.
When ‘welfare’ is discussed, the theme of a divided
‘them’ and ‘us’ of those who pay in, and those who pay out – runs across British
political debate, a hundred tabloid front pages and through a dozen TV
programmes focussed on an assumed unchanging ‘welfare-dependent’ underclass.
But the evidence looks rather different, for example
only one pound in every £14.70 we spend on the welfare state now goes on cash
payments to out of work non-pensioners. In reality our lives are ever-changing. John Hills
discusses this 'welfare myth' in a post for the
LSE British Politics and Policy
blog to mark the release of a revised and updated edition of his book
Good Times, Bad Times:
the welfare myth of them and us.
Presenters: Dr Abigail McKnight and Dr Eleni Karagiannaki
Chair: Steve Machin, Professor of Economics,
London School of Economics; Director, Centre for Economic Performance
Discussants: Chris Goulden, Joseph Rowntree
Foundation, Deputy Director, Policy and Research and Dr Chiara Mariotti, Oxfam
Inequality Policy Manager
This lecture examines the empirical relationship
between economic inequality and poverty across countries and over time, paying
attention to different measurement issues. It then considers a range of
potential mechanisms driving this relationship and explores policy options.
Eleni Karagiannaki is
a Research Fellow at the Centre for Analysis of Social Exclusion at LSE. Her
research focuses on income and wealth inequality and poverty and socio-economic
Abigail McKnight is
an Associate Professorial Research Fellow and Associate Director of Centre for
Analysis of Social Exclusion at LSE where she has worked since 1999. Her
research interests include inequality, poverty, wealth, social mobility and
Further information about this event